Understanding Token Risk Scores on Solana
What do risk scores, opportunity scores, and verdict labels actually mean? A plain-English breakdown of CTools' dual-scoring system.
Dual-Scoring Explained
CTools evaluates every token on two axes: Risk (how dangerous it is) and Opportunity (how much upside potential exists). This dual approach prevents the common mistake of labeling every new token as a scam just because it's young.
Risk Score (0–100)
The risk score aggregates contract safety, holder concentration, liquidity depth, sell pressure, volume manipulation signals, and more. Higher scores mean more danger. Scores above 65 typically trigger an Avoid verdict.
Opportunity Score (0–100)
The opportunity score measures momentum, buy pressure, holder growth, smart money interest, volume-to-liquidity ratios, and early-stage potential. Higher scores mean more upside. Scores above 60 with low risk typically produce a Strong verdict.
The Four Verdicts
Every analysis produces one of four top-line verdicts: Strong (favorable entry conditions), Speculative (opportunity exists but uncertainty is elevated), Watch (mixed signals, monitor before committing), or Avoid (risk outweighs opportunity). Each verdict includes a descriptive subtext explaining why.
Confidence Level
The confidence percentage reflects how much data CTools had to work with. More data sources, longer token history, and consistent signals all increase confidence. Low confidence means the verdict could change as more information becomes available.
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Related Guides
This guide is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.